Points
52Points expected by the market
45.28Gap
+6.72Yield
−10.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 13 | +3.77 | +45.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 23 | +1.25 | −14.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 16 | +1.71 | −22.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 10 | +2.67 | +38.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 19 | +2.66 | +17.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 7 | +3.41 | +102.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.10 | +75.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 4 | −1.41 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 9 | −1.70 | −57.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Leganés · Home17 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | −0.83 |
| M2 | Mallorca · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +0.65 |
| M3 | Girona · Away29 Aug 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.82 | −0.17 |
| M4 | Celta · Home1 Sep 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.56 | +1.39 |
| M5 | Rayo Vallecano · Away16 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.03 | +0.37 |
| M6 | Las Palmas · Home21 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +1.54 |
| M7 | Valencia · Away24 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.05 | +1.59 |
| M8 | FC Barcelona · Home28 Sep 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +2.11 | +3.70 |
| M9 | Getafe · Away5 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | +3.67 |
| M10 | Real Betis · Home19 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.50 | +2.17 |
| M11 | Real Sociedad · Away27 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.26 | +4.43 |
| M12 | Real Valladolid · Home2 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +5.48 |
| M13 | Real Madrid · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.42 | +5.06 |
| M14 | Villarreal · Home24 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.38 | +4.68 |
| M15 | Sevilla · Away2 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | +4.68 |
| M16 | Alavés · Home8 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.59 | +4.09 |
| M17 | Espanyol · Away14 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.36 | +3.74 |
| M18 | Athletic Club · Home21 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | +2.75 |
| M19 | Atlético de Madrid · Away12 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.45 | +2.31 |
| M20 | Rayo Vallecano · Home19 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | +1.75 |
| M21 | Las Palmas · Away24 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | +1.51 |
| M22 | Real Sociedad · Home2 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.77 | +3.29 |
| M23 | Mallorca · Away10 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | +3.17 |
| M24 | Real Madrid · Home15 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.35 | +3.53 |
| M25 | Celta · Away21 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.81 | +2.71 |
| M26 | Valencia · Home2 Mar 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.59 | +2.12 |
| M27 | Getafe · Home16 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.55 | +0.57 |
| M28 | FC Barcelona · Away27 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.33 | +0.24 |
| M29 | Athletic Club · Away30 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.38 | +0.62 |
| M30 | Leganés · Away7 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +0.32 |
| M31 | Girona · Home13 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +1.87 |
| M32 | Real Valladolid · Away20 Apr 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.10 | +2.98 |
| M33 | Sevilla · Home24 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +4.42 |
| M34 | Villarreal · Away3 May 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.60 | +3.83 |
| M35 | Real Betis · Away11 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.22 | +4.04 |
| M36 | Atlético de Madrid · Home15 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.92 | +5.96 |
| M37 | Espanyol · Home18 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +7.23 |
| M38 | Alavés · Away24 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | +6.72 |
| Total | 52 | +6.72 | |||