Points
52Points expected by the market
46.81Gap
+5.19Yield
+1.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.41 | −29.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 7 | −2.02 | −17.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 24 | +3.58 | +3.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 17 | +4.03 | +9.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.41 | −29.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 7 | −2.02 | −17.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 13 | +0.58 | −13.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 2 | −0.28 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 11 | +3.00 | +28.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 15 | +4.32 | +34.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Real Sociedad · Away18 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.18 | +2.18 |
| M2 | Getafe · Away24 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | +1.95 |
| M3 | FC Barcelona · Home27 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.79 | +1.16 |
| M4 | Espanyol · Away31 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −0.15 |
| M5 | Osasuna · Home16 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +1.18 |
| M6 | Atlético de Madrid · Home22 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.19 | +1.37 |
| M7 | Girona · Away25 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.20 | +1.56 |
| M8 | Leganés · Home28 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.85 | +0.72 |
| M9 | Real Valladolid · Away5 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +2.20 |
| M10 | Mallorca · Away20 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | +1.21 |
| M11 | Alavés · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +2.49 |
| M12 | Las Palmas · Home8 Nov 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.81 | +0.68 |
| M13 | Sevilla · Away24 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | −0.34 |
| M14 | Athletic Club · Home1 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −1.54 |
| M15 | Valencia · Away7 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.93 | +0.39 |
| M16 | Real Madrid · Home14 Dec 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.32 | +0.71 |
| M17 | Villarreal · Away18 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.83 |
| M18 | Real Betis · Away22 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | +1.01 |
| M19 | Celta · Home10 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.69 | +2.70 |
| M20 | Osasuna · Away19 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | +2.56 |
| M21 | Girona · Home26 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +4.13 |
| M22 | Leganés · Away31 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +5.63 |
| M23 | Real Valladolid · Home7 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +6.38 |
| M24 | FC Barcelona · Away17 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.36 | +6.03 |
| M25 | Villarreal · Home22 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | +4.70 |
| M26 | Sevilla · Home1 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | +4.27 |
| M27 | Real Madrid · Away9 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.44 | +3.83 |
| M28 | Real Sociedad · Home16 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | +3.30 |
| M29 | Alavés · Away29 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.98 | +5.29 |
| M30 | Espanyol · Home4 Apr 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.98 | +3.31 |
| M31 | Athletic Club · Away13 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.86 | +2.45 |
| M32 | Valencia · Home19 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | +1.95 |
| M33 | Atlético de Madrid · Away24 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.64 | +1.30 |
| M34 | Getafe · Home2 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +2.79 |
| M35 | Las Palmas · Away9 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +4.49 |
| M36 | Real Betis · Home15 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.18 | +4.31 |
| M37 | Celta · Away18 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.04 | +6.35 |
| M38 | Mallorca · Home24 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.16 | +5.19 |
| Total | 52 | +5.19 | |||