Points
60Points expected by the market
54.75Gap
+5.25Yield
+5.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.08 | +24.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 20 | −5.55 | −36.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 19 | +4.07 | +22.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 15 | +5.65 | +36.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.08 | +24.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 16 | −4.33 | −37.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 5 | +0.79 | −19.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 7 | +4.16 | +143.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −1.22 | −32.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 14 | +3.27 | +38.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 8 | +1.49 | −3.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Girona · Home15 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | −0.51 |
| M2 | Alavés · Away25 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.69 |
| M3 | Real Madrid · Away1 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.39 | −1.09 |
| M4 | Leganés · Home13 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.01 | −0.07 |
| M5 | Getafe · Home18 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +1.11 |
| M6 | Mallorca · Home23 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.84 | −0.74 |
| M7 | Las Palmas · Away26 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | −1.37 |
| M8 | Espanyol · Home29 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.88 | −0.50 |
| M9 | Sevilla · Away6 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | −1.84 |
| M10 | Osasuna · Away19 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.80 | −0.04 |
| M11 | Atlético de Madrid · Home27 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.89 | +1.85 |
| M12 | Athletic Club · Away3 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | +1.92 |
| M13 | Celta · Home10 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.61 | +1.31 |
| M14 | Valencia · Away23 Nov 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.24 | +0.07 |
| M15 | Real Sociedad · Away1 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.79 | −0.72 |
| M16 | FC Barcelona · Home7 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.29 | −0.43 |
| M17 | Villarreal · Away15 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.99 | +1.56 |
| M18 | Rayo Vallecano · Home22 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.92 | +0.64 |
| M19 | Real Valladolid · Away11 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.89 | −1.25 |
| M20 | Alavés · Home18 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.83 | −3.08 |
| M21 | Mallorca · Away25 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.95 | −1.13 |
| M22 | Athletic Club · Home2 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.20 | −1.33 |
| M23 | Celta · Away8 Feb 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.10 | −2.43 |
| M24 | Real Sociedad · Home16 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −0.93 |
| M25 | Getafe · Away23 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | +0.71 |
| M26 | Real Madrid · Home1 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.99 | +2.70 |
| M27 | Las Palmas · Home9 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.66 | +3.35 |
| M28 | Leganés · Away16 Mar 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.31 | +4.66 |
| M29 | Sevilla · Home30 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.11 | +5.77 |
| M30 | FC Barcelona · Away5 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.45 | +6.23 |
| M31 | Villarreal · Home13 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.59 | +4.63 |
| M32 | Girona · Away21 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +6.30 |
| M33 | Real Valladolid · Home24 Apr 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.42 | +6.72 |
| M34 | Espanyol · Away4 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +8.20 |
| M35 | Osasuna · Home11 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.98 | +7.21 |
| M36 | Rayo Vallecano · Away15 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | +6.68 |
| M37 | Atlético de Madrid · Away18 May 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.70 | +5.98 |
| M38 | Valencia · Home23 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | +5.25 |
| Total | 60 | +5.25 | |||