Points
84Points expected by the market
81.45Gap
+2.55Yield
−2.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 24 | 60 | +2.64 | +1.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 20 | +1.46 | +6.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.52 | −26.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.03 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 17 | 48 | +6.77 | +19.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.40 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 12 | −4.13 | −42.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 19 | +3.87 | +32.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.52 | −26.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.03 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Mallorca · Away18 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.27 | −1.27 |
| M2 | Real Valladolid · Home25 Aug 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.36 | −0.91 |
| M3 | Las Palmas · Away29 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.33 | −2.25 |
| M4 | Real Betis · Home1 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.55 | −1.70 |
| M5 | Real Sociedad · Away14 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.11 | −0.59 |
| M6 | Espanyol · Home21 Sep 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.35 | −0.24 |
| M7 | Alavés · Home24 Sep 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.40 | +0.16 |
| M8 | Atlético de Madrid · Away29 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −0.24 |
| M9 | Villarreal · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.58 | +0.35 |
| M10 | Celta · Away19 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.95 | +1.30 |
| M11 | FC Barcelona · Home26 Oct 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.70 | −0.40 |
| M12 | Osasuna · Home9 Nov 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.57 | +0.17 |
| M13 | Leganés · Away24 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.70 | +0.87 |
| M14 | Getafe · Home1 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.65 | +1.52 |
| M15 | Athletic Club · Away4 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −0.05 |
| M16 | Girona · Away7 Dec 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +1.11 |
| M17 | Rayo Vallecano · Away14 Dec 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.09 | +0.01 |
| M18 | Sevilla · Home22 Dec 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.57 | +0.58 |
| M19 | Valencia · Away3 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.79 | +1.37 |
| M20 | Las Palmas · Home19 Jan 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.41 | +1.78 |
| M21 | Real Valladolid · Away25 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.51 | +2.29 |
| M22 | Espanyol · Away1 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.37 | −0.08 |
| M23 | Atlético de Madrid · Home8 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | −0.78 |
| M24 | Osasuna · Away15 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.16 | −1.94 |
| M25 | Girona · Home23 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.59 | −1.34 |
| M26 | Real Betis · Away1 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.73 | −3.08 |
| M27 | Rayo Vallecano · Home9 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.61 | −2.47 |
| M28 | Villarreal · Away15 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | −1.03 |
| M29 | Leganés · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.47 | −0.56 |
| M30 | Valencia · Home5 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.39 | −2.95 |
| M31 | Alavés · Away13 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.07 | −1.88 |
| M32 | Athletic Club · Home20 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.80 | −1.08 |
| M33 | Getafe · Away23 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.98 | −0.10 |
| M34 | Celta · Home4 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.73 | +0.63 |
| M35 | FC Barcelona · Away11 May 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.03 | −0.40 |
| M36 | Mallorca · Home14 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.79 | +0.39 |
| M37 | Sevilla · Away18 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +1.81 |
| M38 | Real Sociedad · Home24 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.73 | +2.55 |
| Total | 84 | +2.55 | |||