Points
46Points expected by the market
56.99Gap
−10.99Yield
−27.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.64 | −31.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 25 | −1.16 | +3.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 12 | −7.45 | −46.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −1.74 | −49.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.64 | −31.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 18 | −2.99 | −4.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 2 | −3.80 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.17 | +101.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.83 | +33.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −3.66 | −25.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 2 | −2.91 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Rayo Vallecano · Home18 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.90 | −1.90 |
| M2 | Espanyol · Away24 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −0.54 |
| M3 | Alavés · Home28 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.05 | −2.60 |
| M4 | Getafe · Away1 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | −2.98 |
| M5 | Real Madrid · Home14 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.86 | −3.84 |
| M6 | Mallorca · Away17 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | −5.16 |
| M7 | Real Valladolid · Away21 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.65 | −5.80 |
| M8 | Valencia · Home28 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.15 | −4.65 |
| M9 | Atlético de Madrid · Home6 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | −4.98 |
| M10 | Girona · Away19 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | −3.31 |
| M11 | Osasuna · Home27 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.01 | −5.32 |
| M12 | Sevilla · Away3 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −3.87 |
| M13 | FC Barcelona · Home10 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.03 | −1.84 |
| M14 | Athletic Club · Away24 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | −2.98 |
| M15 | Real Betis · Home1 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.04 | −1.94 |
| M16 | Leganés · Away8 Dec 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.12 | −0.82 |
| M17 | Las Palmas · Home15 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.34 | −2.16 |
| M18 | Celta · Away21 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −3.51 |
| M19 | Villarreal · Home13 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | −2.22 |
| M20 | Valencia · Away19 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.42 | −3.64 |
| M21 | Getafe · Home26 Jan 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.82 | −5.46 |
| M22 | Osasuna · Away2 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −6.92 |
| M23 | Espanyol · Home9 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.98 | −5.94 |
| M24 | Real Betis · Away16 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.19 | −7.13 |
| M25 | Leganés · Home23 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.96 | −6.18 |
| M26 | FC Barcelona · Away2 Mar 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.40 | −6.58 |
| M27 | Sevilla · Home9 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | −8.06 |
| M28 | Rayo Vallecano · Away16 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.14 | −8.20 |
| M29 | Real Valladolid · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.70 | −7.50 |
| M30 | Las Palmas · Away6 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.50 | −5.99 |
| M31 | Mallorca · Home12 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.72 | −7.71 |
| M32 | Villarreal · Away20 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.20 | −7.51 |
| M33 | Alavés · Away23 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −8.67 |
| M34 | Athletic Club · Home4 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.45 | −9.12 |
| M35 | Atlético de Madrid · Away10 May 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.86 | −9.98 |
| M36 | Celta · Home13 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.54 | −11.52 |
| M37 | Girona · Home18 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.09 | −10.42 |
| M38 | Real Madrid · Away24 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.56 | −10.99 |
| Total | 46 | −10.99 | |||