Points
41Points expected by the market
49.06Gap
−8.06Yield
−34.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 18 | −1.66 | −33.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 19 | −0.59 | −11.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 4 | −5.81 | −64.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 15 | −2.92 | −46.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 9 | −0.34 | +8.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.75 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.26 | +98.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 10 | −0.24 | −28.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 4 | −4.06 | −57.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Las Palmas · Away16 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | −0.32 |
| M2 | Villarreal · Home23 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.58 | −1.89 |
| M3 | Mallorca · Away27 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | −2.05 |
| M4 | Girona · Home1 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −3.33 |
| M5 | Getafe · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −1.92 |
| M6 | Alavés · Away20 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −3.00 |
| M7 | Real Valladolid · Home24 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.97 | −2.03 |
| M8 | Athletic Club · Away29 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | −1.86 |
| M9 | Real Betis · Home6 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.64 | −0.21 |
| M10 | FC Barcelona · Away20 Oct 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.45 | −0.66 |
| M11 | Espanyol · Away25 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +0.89 |
| M12 | Real Sociedad · Home3 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −0.26 |
| M13 | Leganés · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.43 | −1.69 |
| M14 | Rayo Vallecano · Home24 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −0.37 |
| M15 | Osasuna · Home2 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | −1.08 |
| M16 | Atlético de Madrid · Away8 Dec 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.52 | −1.60 |
| M17 | Celta · Home14 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | −0.01 |
| M18 | Real Madrid · Away22 Dec 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.42 | −0.43 |
| M19 | Valencia · Home11 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | −1.09 |
| M20 | Girona · Away18 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.05 | +0.96 |
| M21 | Espanyol · Home25 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.89 | +0.07 |
| M22 | Getafe · Away1 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.27 | −0.20 |
| M23 | FC Barcelona · Home9 Feb 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.64 | −0.84 |
| M24 | Real Valladolid · Away16 Feb 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +0.42 |
| M25 | Mallorca · Home24 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | −0.34 |
| M26 | Rayo Vallecano · Away1 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.60 |
| M27 | Real Sociedad · Away9 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +1.20 |
| M28 | Athletic Club · Home16 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | −0.19 |
| M29 | Real Betis · Away30 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | −1.03 |
| M30 | Atlético de Madrid · Home6 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −2.14 |
| M31 | Valencia · Away11 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −3.30 |
| M32 | Alavés · Home20 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | −3.99 |
| M33 | Osasuna · Away24 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | −5.12 |
| M34 | Leganés · Home4 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.98 | −6.10 |
| M35 | Celta · Away10 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.94 | −7.04 |
| M36 | Las Palmas · Home13 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.05 | −5.99 |
| M37 | Real Madrid · Home18 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −7.15 |
| M38 | Villarreal · Away25 May 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.91 | −8.06 |
| Total | 41 | −8.06 | |||