Points
46Points expected by the market
47.32Gap
−1.32Yield
−14.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.76 | +42.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 12 | −0.27 | −17.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 22 | +3.81 | +21.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 9 | −5.62 | −42.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.76 | +42.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 12 | −0.27 | −17.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 16 | +4.36 | +61.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.52 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 6 | −0.55 | −42.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 9 | −3.10 | −30.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | FC Barcelona · Home17 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −0.92 |
| M2 | Celta · Away23 Aug 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.10 | −2.03 |
| M3 | Athletic Club · Away28 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.82 | −2.85 |
| M4 | Villarreal · Home31 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | −3.22 |
| M5 | Atlético de Madrid · Away15 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.48 | −3.70 |
| M6 | Girona · Home21 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −2.13 |
| M7 | Osasuna · Home24 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.74 | −2.87 |
| M8 | Real Sociedad · Away28 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.86 | −3.73 |
| M9 | Leganés · Away4 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | −4.06 |
| M10 | Las Palmas · Home21 Oct 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.80 | −5.87 |
| M11 | Getafe · Away27 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | −5.81 |
| M12 | Real Betis · Home23 Nov 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.56 | −4.25 |
| M13 | Mallorca · Away29 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −5.24 |
| M14 | Rayo Vallecano · Home7 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.61 | −6.85 |
| M15 | Real Valladolid · Away13 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | −8.34 |
| M16 | Espanyol · Away18 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | −8.57 |
| M17 | Alavés · Home22 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.65 | −9.23 |
| M18 | Real Madrid · Home3 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.59 | −9.81 |
| M19 | Sevilla · Away11 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −9.85 |
| M20 | Real Sociedad · Home19 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | −8.10 |
| M21 | FC Barcelona · Away26 Jan 2025 | L 1-7 | 0 | −0.38 | −8.48 |
| M22 | Celta · Home2 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.42 | −7.06 |
| M23 | Leganés · Home9 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.11 | −5.95 |
| M24 | Villarreal · Away15 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | −5.77 |
| M25 | Atlético de Madrid · Home22 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.01 | −6.79 |
| M26 | Osasuna · Away2 Mar 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.10 | −6.89 |
| M27 | Real Valladolid · Home8 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.76 | −6.12 |
| M28 | Girona · Away15 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | −6.11 |
| M29 | Mallorca · Home30 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | −4.84 |
| M30 | Real Madrid · Away5 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.55 | −2.29 |
| M31 | Sevilla · Home11 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −0.81 |
| M32 | Rayo Vallecano · Away19 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | −1.01 |
| M33 | Espanyol · Home22 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | −1.72 |
| M34 | Las Palmas · Away3 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.70 | −0.02 |
| M35 | Getafe · Home10 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +1.25 |
| M36 | Alavés · Away14 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | +0.15 |
| M37 | Athletic Club · Home18 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.45 | −1.29 |
| M38 | Real Betis · Away23 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | −1.32 |
| Total | 46 | −1.32 | |||