Points
70Points expected by the market
59.88Gap
+10.12Yield
+11.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 12 | +2.68 | +32.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 32 | +3.71 | +5.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 22 | +4.99 | +31.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.26 | −31.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 12 | +2.68 | +32.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 20 | −1.15 | −25.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 2 | −1.78 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.01 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 12 | +4.86 | +90.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 20 | +6.76 | +71.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | −0.25 | −17.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Atlético de Madrid · Home19 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.09 | −0.09 |
| M2 | Sevilla · Away23 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.84 | +1.75 |
| M3 | Celta · Home26 Aug 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.04 | +2.79 |
| M4 | Valencia · Away31 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | +2.46 |
| M5 | Mallorca · Away14 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.81 | +4.27 |
| M6 | FC Barcelona · Home22 Sep 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.01 | +3.26 |
| M7 | Espanyol · Away26 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +4.63 |
| M8 | Las Palmas · Home30 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.89 | +5.51 |
| M9 | Real Madrid · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.43 | +5.08 |
| M10 | Getafe · Home20 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | +4.25 |
| M11 | Real Valladolid · Away26 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +5.54 |
| M12 | Alavés · Home9 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +6.48 |
| M13 | Osasuna · Away24 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | +6.14 |
| M14 | Girona · Home1 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.86 | +5.28 |
| M15 | Athletic Club · Away8 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | +4.36 |
| M16 | Real Betis · Home15 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.73 | +2.63 |
| M17 | Rayo Vallecano · Home18 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.87 | +1.76 |
| M18 | Leganés · Away22 Dec 2024 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.22 | +2.98 |
| M19 | Real Sociedad · Away13 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.00 | +1.98 |
| M20 | Mallorca · Home20 Jan 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +3.01 |
| M21 | Atlético de Madrid · Away25 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | +3.02 |
| M22 | Real Valladolid · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.48 | +3.50 |
| M23 | Las Palmas · Away8 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.99 | +4.48 |
| M24 | Valencia · Home15 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.93 | +3.55 |
| M25 | Rayo Vallecano · Away22 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +5.17 |
| M26 | Alavés · Away8 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | +3.73 |
| M27 | Real Madrid · Home15 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | +2.54 |
| M28 | Getafe · Away30 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +4.04 |
| M29 | Athletic Club · Home6 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | +3.54 |
| M30 | Real Betis · Away13 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.87 | +5.40 |
| M31 | Real Sociedad · Home20 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.96 | +4.44 |
| M32 | Celta · Away23 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.26 | +3.18 |
| M33 | Espanyol · Home27 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.77 | +3.94 |
| M34 | Osasuna · Home3 May 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.79 | +4.74 |
| M35 | Girona · Away10 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +6.24 |
| M36 | Leganés · Home14 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.64 | +6.88 |
| M37 | FC Barcelona · Away18 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.10 | +8.97 |
| M38 | Sevilla · Home25 May 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.14 | +10.12 |
| Total | 70 | +10.12 | |||