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Season 2026-27 · 10 matches played

Last 5LDLLD

Points

12

Points expected by the market

13.62

Gap

−1.62

Yield

−24.5%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M2M3M4M5M6M7M8M9M10

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 2 1 3.93 −2.93 −100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 5 10 6.94 +3.06 +51.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches 3 1 2.75 −1.75 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Getafe · Home15 Aug 2026 15 Aug 2026 W 3-0 2.32 1.56 3 +1.44 +1.44 +€1.32
M2 Rayo Vallecano · Away20 Aug 2026 20 Aug 2026 D 1-1 3.07 1.22 1 −0.22 +1.21 −€1.00
M3 Villarreal · Home28 Aug 2026 28 Aug 2026 W 1-0 3.03 1.20 3 +1.80 +3.01 +€2.03
M4 Osasuna · Home6 Sep 2026 6 Sep 2026 W 5-2 2.20 1.59 3 +1.41 +4.42 +€1.20
M5 Racing de Santander · Away12 Sep 2026 12 Sep 2026 L 1-2 2.59 1.36 0 −1.36 +3.06 −€1.00
M6 Valencia · Home15 Sep 2026 15 Sep 2026 L 0-1 1.71 1.92 0 −1.92 +1.14 −€1.00
M7 Athletic Club · Away19 Sep 2026 19 Sep 2026 D 0-0 5.82 0.73 1 +0.27 +1.41 −€1.00
M8 Atlético de Madrid · Home10 Oct 2026 10 Oct 2026 L 1-2 4.37 0.91 0 −0.91 +0.50 −€1.00
M9 Celta · Away18 Oct 2026 18 Oct 2026 L 1-2 3.53 1.11 0 −1.11 −0.61 −€1.00
M10 Málaga · Home23 Oct 2026 23 Oct 2026 D 1-1 1.60 2.02 1 −1.02 −1.62 −€1.00
Total 13.62 12 −1.62 −€2.45