Points
12Points expected by the market
14.75Gap
−2.75Yield
−60.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −1.58 | −40.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 7 | −1.28 | −63.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.12 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −1.58 | −40.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.28 | −26.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −1.00 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.12 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Valencia · Away22 Aug 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.23 |
| M2 | Osasuna · Home27 Aug 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.82 | −2.05 |
| M3 | Athletic Club · Home30 Aug 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −3.37 |
| M4 | Real Sociedad · Away3 Sep 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.12 | −3.25 |
| M5 | Getafe · Away7 Sep 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −3.52 |
| M6 | Málaga · Home13 Sep 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.94 | −4.47 |
| M7 | Racing de Santander · Home19 Sep 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.17 | −3.29 |
| M8 | Elche · Away11 Oct 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | −3.79 |
| M9 | Alavés · Home18 Oct 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | −2.38 |
| M10 | Real Betis · Home25 Oct 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | −2.75 |
| Total | 12 | −2.75 | |||