Points
27Points expected by the market
24.31Gap
+2.69Yield
+9.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 27 | +4.65 | +21.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.95 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 12 | +1.48 | +12.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.95 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 15 | +3.17 | +28.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Elche · Away23 Aug 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +0.68 |
| M2 | Athletic Club · Home27 Aug 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.54 | +1.23 |
| M3 | Rayo Vallecano · Home31 Aug 2026 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.32 | +1.55 |
| M4 | Valencia · Away6 Sep 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.57 | +2.12 |
| M5 | Levante · Away13 Sep 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.47 | +2.59 |
| M6 | Racing de Santander · Home16 Sep 2026 | W 7-2 | 3 | +0.24 | +2.83 |
| M7 | Sevilla · Away19 Sep 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.64 | +3.47 |
| M8 | Getafe · Home10 Oct 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.37 | +3.83 |
| M9 | Real Betis · Away17 Oct 2026 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.81 | +4.65 |
| M10 | Real Madrid · Home25 Oct 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.95 | +2.69 |
| Total | 27 | +2.69 | |||