Points
24Points expected by the market
22.01Gap
+1.99Yield
+24.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 21 | +1.55 | +6.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.68 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.12 | +295.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 15 | +2.43 | +19.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 6 | −0.88 | −14.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.68 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.12 | +295.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Espanyol · Away22 Aug 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.77 | +0.77 |
| M2 | Real Sociedad · Home26 Aug 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.47 | +1.25 |
| M3 | Málaga · Home30 Aug 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.31 | +1.55 |
| M4 | Real Betis · Away4 Sep 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.14 | −0.59 |
| M5 | Rayo Vallecano · Home12 Sep 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.40 | −0.19 |
| M6 | Elche · Away15 Sep 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.50 | +0.30 |
| M7 | Atlético de Madrid · Away20 Sep 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.68 | −1.38 |
| M8 | Villarreal · Home10 Oct 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.70 | −0.68 |
| M9 | Sevilla · Home18 Oct 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.55 | −0.13 |
| M10 | FC Barcelona · Away25 Oct 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.12 | +1.99 |
| Total | 24 | +1.99 | |||