Points
40Points expected by the market
45.37Gap
−5.37Yield
−42.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.27 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.31 | +16.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 21 | −1.12 | −33.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 11 | −4.28 | −56.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.27 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.31 | +16.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 14 | −0.69 | −26.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | −0.71 | −28.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 7 | −0.44 | −44.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 7 | −3.57 | −67.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Las Palmas · Away12 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | −0.22 |
| M2 | Villarreal · Home18 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | −1.57 |
| M3 | Granada · Away26 Aug 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.29 | −2.87 |
| M4 | Athletic Club · Home3 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | −3.11 |
| M5 | Celta · Away16 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.01 | −1.10 |
| M6 | Girona · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 3-5 | 0 | −0.91 | −2.02 |
| M7 | FC Barcelona · Home26 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.38 | −1.64 |
| M8 | Rayo Vallecano · Away30 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.02 | −1.62 |
| M9 | Valencia · Home7 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −2.09 |
| M10 | Real Sociedad · Away21 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.71 | −2.80 |
| M11 | Getafe · Home28 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.57 | −3.37 |
| M12 | Real Betis · Away4 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −4.27 |
| M13 | Atlético de Madrid · Away25 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.50 | −4.77 |
| M14 | Cádiz · Home29 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.81 | −5.59 |
| M15 | Alavés · Home3 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.42 | −6.01 |
| M16 | Sevilla · Home9 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −4.42 |
| M17 | Almería · Away17 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | −4.60 |
| M18 | Osasuna · Home21 Dec 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.40 | −3.19 |
| M19 | Real Madrid · Away3 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.36 | −3.55 |
| M20 | Celta · Home13 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | −4.08 |
| M21 | Villarreal · Away20 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | −4.16 |
| M22 | Real Betis · Home27 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.59 | −5.75 |
| M23 | Athletic Club · Away2 Feb 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.62 | −6.37 |
| M24 | Rayo Vallecano · Home11 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | −4.86 |
| M25 | Real Sociedad · Home18 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −5.97 |
| M26 | Alavés · Away24 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | −5.85 |
| M27 | Girona · Home3 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.91 | −3.94 |
| M28 | FC Barcelona · Away8 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.60 | −4.55 |
| M29 | Granada · Home16 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.14 | −3.40 |
| M30 | Valencia · Away30 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.03 | −3.43 |
| M31 | Real Madrid · Home13 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | −4.27 |
| M32 | Sevilla · Away22 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −5.28 |
| M33 | Cádiz · Away28 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −5.57 |
| M34 | Atlético de Madrid · Home4 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | −6.62 |
| M35 | Las Palmas · Home11 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.98 | −5.64 |
| M36 | Osasuna · Away14 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −5.93 |
| M37 | Almería · Home19 May 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.27 | −7.20 |
| M38 | Getafe · Away26 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.83 | −5.37 |
| Total | 40 | −5.37 | |||