Points
43Points expected by the market
44.57Gap
−1.57Yield
−10.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | +0.99 | +2.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 19 | −1.42 | −13.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 13 | −1.15 | −12.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.35 | −17.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 18 | +1.25 | +7.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.52 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.34 | +104.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 1 | −2.67 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 12 | −0.63 | −0.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Levante · Home16 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +1.33 |
| M2 | Real Betis · Away22 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | +0.42 |
| M3 | Atlético de Madrid · Home30 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.21 | +0.63 |
| M4 | Athletic Club · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.29 | +2.92 |
| M5 | Sevilla · Home20 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.50 | +1.43 |
| M6 | Getafe · Away24 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | +1.47 |
| M7 | Mallorca · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | +0.28 |
| M8 | Elche · Home5 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +1.67 |
| M9 | Valencia · Home20 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.60 | +1.07 |
| M10 | Rayo Vallecano · Away26 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | −0.01 |
| M11 | Espanyol · Home2 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +1.50 |
| M12 | Girona · Away8 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | +0.41 |
| M13 | Celta · Home22 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | −0.97 |
| M14 | FC Barcelona · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.44 | −1.41 |
| M15 | Real Sociedad · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +0.22 |
| M16 | Real Madrid · Home14 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.73 | −0.50 |
| M17 | Osasuna · Away20 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.07 | −1.57 |
| M18 | Real Oviedo · Home4 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.80 | −2.37 |
| M19 | Villarreal · Away10 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.61 | −2.97 |
| M20 | Atlético de Madrid · Away18 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.51 | −3.48 |
| M21 | Real Betis · Home25 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | −1.87 |
| M22 | Espanyol · Away30 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.07 | +0.20 |
| M23 | Getafe · Home8 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −1.34 |
| M24 | Sevilla · Away14 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | −1.38 |
| M25 | Girona · Home23 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.50 | −1.88 |
| M26 | Levante · Away27 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −3.21 |
| M27 | Valencia · Away8 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.03 | −4.24 |
| M28 | Villarreal · Home13 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | −4.34 |
| M29 | Celta · Away22 Mar 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +2.03 | −2.31 |
| M30 | Osasuna · Home5 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.36 | −2.67 |
| M31 | Real Sociedad · Away11 Apr 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.07 | −2.59 |
| M32 | Real Madrid · Away21 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.37 | −2.97 |
| M33 | Mallorca · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.34 | −1.63 |
| M34 | Athletic Club · Home2 May 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.32 | −2.95 |
| M35 | Elche · Away9 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | −3.10 |
| M36 | FC Barcelona · Home13 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −1.30 |
| M37 | Real Oviedo · Away17 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +0.04 |
| M38 | Rayo Vallecano · Home23 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.62 | −1.57 |
| Total | 43 | −1.57 | |||