Points
45Points expected by the market
58.61Gap
−13.61Yield
−31.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.14 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 29 | −2.57 | −7.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 15 | −5.74 | −31.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 0 | −4.15 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.14 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 25 | −1.56 | −2.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.13 | +44.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.77 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −1.01 | −32.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 11 | −6.87 | −43.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.39 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sevilla · Home17 Aug 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.94 | +0.94 |
| M2 | Rayo Vallecano · Home25 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +2.03 |
| M3 | Real Betis · Away31 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +3.53 |
| M4 | Alavés · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.04 | +1.50 |
| M5 | Valencia · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.56 | −0.07 |
| M6 | Girona · Home23 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.14 | −1.21 |
| M7 | Villarreal · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | −2.24 |
| M8 | Mallorca · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.98 | −1.25 |
| M9 | Elche · Away19 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.71 | −1.97 |
| M10 | Getafe · Home25 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.03 | −3.99 |
| M11 | Real Sociedad · Away1 Nov 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.30 | −5.29 |
| M12 | Real Oviedo · Home9 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.95 | −4.34 |
| M13 | FC Barcelona · Away22 Nov 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.61 | −4.96 |
| M14 | Levante · Away29 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −3.64 |
| M15 | Real Madrid · Home3 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.93 | −4.58 |
| M16 | Atlético de Madrid · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | −2.86 |
| M17 | Celta · Away14 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −4.26 |
| M18 | Espanyol · Home22 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.81 | −6.07 |
| M19 | Osasuna · Away3 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | −6.49 |
| M20 | Mallorca · Away17 Jan 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.62 | −8.10 |
| M21 | Sevilla · Away24 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −9.39 |
| M22 | Real Sociedad · Home1 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | −9.97 |
| M23 | Levante · Home8 Feb 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.00 | −8.98 |
| M24 | Real Oviedo · Away15 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | −7.47 |
| M25 | Elche · Home20 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | −6.39 |
| M26 | Rayo Vallecano · Away28 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | −6.61 |
| M27 | FC Barcelona · Home7 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.83 | −7.44 |
| M28 | Girona · Away14 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.42 | −8.86 |
| M29 | Real Betis · Home22 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | −7.54 |
| M30 | Getafe · Away5 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.47 | −9.01 |
| M31 | Villarreal · Home12 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.66 | −10.67 |
| M32 | Osasuna · Home21 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | −9.48 |
| M33 | Atlético de Madrid · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.08 | −10.56 |
| M34 | Alavés · Away2 May 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.61 | −8.95 |
| M35 | Valencia · Home10 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.96 | −10.91 |
| M36 | Espanyol · Away13 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −12.25 |
| M37 | Celta · Home17 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | −12.86 |
| M38 | Real Madrid · Away23 May 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.75 | −13.61 |
| Total | 45 | −13.61 | |||