Points
69Points expected by the market
68.76Gap
+0.24Yield
+1.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | 28 | +2.51 | +8.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 32 | +0.49 | −4.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 6 | −4.05 | −29.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.28 | +133.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | 28 | +2.51 | +8.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 15 | +3.92 | +47.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.70 | +54.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 17 | −3.43 | −32.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 3 | −4.74 | −57.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.28 | +133.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Espanyol · Away17 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.01 | −2.01 |
| M2 | Elche · Home23 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.42 | −3.44 |
| M3 | Alavés · Away30 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.94 | −4.37 |
| M4 | Villarreal · Home13 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.14 | −3.23 |
| M5 | Mallorca · Away21 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.89 | −4.12 |
| M6 | Rayo Vallecano · Home24 Sep 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.82 | −3.29 |
| M7 | Real Madrid · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.81 | −1.48 |
| M8 | Celta · Away5 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.86 | −2.34 |
| M9 | Osasuna · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.68 | −1.66 |
| M10 | Real Betis · Away27 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.42 | −0.24 |
| M11 | Sevilla · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.70 | +0.46 |
| M12 | Levante · Home8 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.52 | +0.99 |
| M13 | Getafe · Away23 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +2.15 |
| M14 | Real Oviedo · Home29 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.54 | +2.69 |
| M15 | FC Barcelona · Away2 Dec 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.87 | +1.82 |
| M16 | Athletic Club · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.42 | +0.40 |
| M17 | Valencia · Home13 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.64 | +1.04 |
| M18 | Girona · Away21 Dec 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +2.13 |
| M19 | Real Sociedad · Away4 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | +1.37 |
| M20 | Alavés · Home18 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +2.08 |
| M21 | Mallorca · Home25 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.67 | +2.75 |
| M22 | Levante · Away31 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.92 | +1.82 |
| M23 | Real Betis · Home8 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.15 | −0.33 |
| M24 | Rayo Vallecano · Away15 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.85 | −2.18 |
| M25 | Espanyol · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.79 | −1.39 |
| M26 | Real Oviedo · Away28 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.13 | −0.26 |
| M27 | Real Sociedad · Home7 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.03 | +0.77 |
| M28 | Getafe · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +1.78 |
| M29 | Real Madrid · Away22 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.10 | +0.68 |
| M30 | FC Barcelona · Home4 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −0.43 |
| M31 | Sevilla · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −1.61 |
| M32 | Elche · Away22 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.31 | −2.92 |
| M33 | Athletic Club · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.35 | −1.57 |
| M34 | Valencia · Away2 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.15 | +0.58 |
| M35 | Celta · Home9 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.78 | −1.21 |
| M36 | Osasuna · Away12 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +0.43 |
| M37 | Girona · Home17 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +1.61 |
| M38 | Villarreal · Away24 May 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.37 | +0.24 |
| Total | 69 | +0.24 | |||