Points
54Points expected by the market
52.42Gap
+1.58Yield
+13.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 18 | −7.05 | −34.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 26 | +7.50 | +43.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 10 | +1.13 | +37.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 17 | −6.46 | −29.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 5 | −0.20 | −28.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.80 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.59 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 21 | +7.70 | +71.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 9 | +1.93 | +72.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Getafe · Home17 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.97 | −1.97 |
| M2 | Mallorca · Away23 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | −2.47 |
| M3 | Real Betis · Home27 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | −2.96 |
| M4 | Villarreal · Home31 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −3.14 |
| M5 | Girona · Home14 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.89 | −4.03 |
| M6 | Rayo Vallecano · Away21 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −4.07 |
| M7 | Elche · Away28 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −5.45 |
| M8 | Atlético de Madrid · Home5 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | −5.33 |
| M9 | Real Sociedad · Home19 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | −6.04 |
| M10 | Osasuna · Away26 Oct 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.79 | −4.25 |
| M11 | Levante · Away2 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | −2.76 |
| M12 | FC Barcelona · Home9 Nov 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.92 | −3.67 |
| M13 | Alavés · Away22 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | −1.97 |
| M14 | Espanyol · Home30 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.77 | −3.75 |
| M15 | Real Madrid · Away7 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.56 | −1.19 |
| M16 | Athletic Club · Home14 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +0.52 |
| M17 | Real Oviedo · Away20 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.59 | −0.08 |
| M18 | Valencia · Home3 Jan 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +1.21 |
| M19 | Sevilla · Away12 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +2.89 |
| M20 | Rayo Vallecano · Home18 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +4.12 |
| M21 | Real Sociedad · Away25 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.09 | +3.03 |
| M22 | Getafe · Away1 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | +2.68 |
| M23 | Osasuna · Home6 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.67 | +1.01 |
| M24 | Espanyol · Away14 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.29 | +0.72 |
| M25 | Mallorca · Home22 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +1.86 |
| M26 | Girona · Away1 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +3.61 |
| M27 | Real Madrid · Home6 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | +2.38 |
| M28 | Real Betis · Away15 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | +2.34 |
| M29 | Alavés · Home22 Mar 2026 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.74 | +0.60 |
| M30 | Valencia · Away5 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.80 | +2.39 |
| M31 | Real Oviedo · Home12 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.90 | +0.50 |
| M32 | FC Barcelona · Away22 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.41 | +0.08 |
| M33 | Villarreal · Away26 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −0.91 |
| M34 | Elche · Home3 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.09 | +0.18 |
| M35 | Atlético de Madrid · Away9 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.04 | +2.22 |
| M36 | Levante · Home12 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.75 | +0.47 |
| M37 | Athletic Club · Away17 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | +0.38 |
| M38 | Sevilla · Home23 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +1.58 |
| Total | 54 | +1.58 | |||