Points
43Points expected by the market
41.71Gap
+1.29Yield
−36.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 12 | +5.36 | +106.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 24 | +3.89 | +5.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 7 | −7.97 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 12 | +5.36 | +106.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 21 | +4.46 | +4.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 2 | −0.08 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −0.57 | +7.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 5 | −7.88 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Real Betis · Home18 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.18 |
| M2 | Atlético de Madrid · Away23 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.59 | +0.41 |
| M3 | Levante · Home29 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +1.79 |
| M4 | Sevilla · Away12 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.07 | +1.87 |
| M5 | Real Oviedo · Home21 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +3.14 |
| M6 | Osasuna · Away25 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.09 | +3.22 |
| M7 | Celta · Home28 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.68 | +4.90 |
| M8 | Alavés · Away5 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.07 | +3.84 |
| M9 | Athletic Club · Home19 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | 0.00 | +3.84 |
| M10 | Espanyol · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | +2.84 |
| M11 | FC Barcelona · Away2 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.36 | +2.49 |
| M12 | Real Sociedad · Home7 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | +2.23 |
| M13 | Real Madrid · Home23 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.40 | +2.63 |
| M14 | Getafe · Away28 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | +1.54 |
| M15 | Girona · Home7 Dec 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +2.90 |
| M16 | Mallorca · Away13 Dec 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.24 | +1.66 |
| M17 | Rayo Vallecano · Home21 Dec 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +3.20 |
| M18 | Villarreal · Home3 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.19 | +2.01 |
| M19 | Valencia · Away10 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | +2.00 |
| M20 | Sevilla · Home19 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.49 | +1.51 |
| M21 | Levante · Away23 Jan 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.17 | +0.34 |
| M22 | FC Barcelona · Home31 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.48 | −0.14 |
| M23 | Real Sociedad · Away7 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.78 | −0.93 |
| M24 | Osasuna · Home13 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | −1.21 |
| M25 | Athletic Club · Away20 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −2.03 |
| M26 | Espanyol · Home1 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.46 | −2.50 |
| M27 | Villarreal · Away8 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.64 | −3.13 |
| M28 | Real Madrid · Away14 Mar 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.46 | −3.60 |
| M29 | Mallorca · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | −2.25 |
| M30 | Rayo Vallecano · Away3 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.85 | −3.10 |
| M31 | Valencia · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | −1.47 |
| M32 | Atlético de Madrid · Home22 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.57 | +0.11 |
| M33 | Real Oviedo · Away26 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.84 | +1.94 |
| M34 | Celta · Away3 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.85 | +1.09 |
| M35 | Alavés · Home9 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | +0.54 |
| M36 | Real Betis · Away12 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.79 | −0.25 |
| M37 | Getafe · Home17 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +1.20 |
| M38 | Girona · Away23 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.08 | +1.29 |
| Total | 43 | +1.29 | |||