Points
46Points expected by the market
46.59Gap
−0.59Yield
−0.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 8 | −2.47 | −36.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 24 | −0.75 | −13.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 14 | +2.63 | +31.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 8 | −2.47 | −36.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 15 | +0.59 | −2.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +0.67 | +90.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 9 | −1.34 | −27.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 11 | +1.96 | +15.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Atlético de Madrid · Home17 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.26 | +2.26 |
| M2 | Real Sociedad · Away24 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.07 | +2.33 |
| M3 | Osasuna · Home31 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +3.87 |
| M4 | Mallorca · Home15 Sep 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.43 | +5.30 |
| M5 | Real Madrid · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.36 | +4.94 |
| M6 | Valencia · Home23 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.52 | +4.42 |
| M7 | Girona · Away26 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | +4.11 |
| M8 | Real Betis · Home5 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | +2.71 |
| M9 | Real Oviedo · Away17 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +4.32 |
| M10 | Elche · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +5.60 |
| M11 | Alavés · Away2 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | +4.39 |
| M12 | Villarreal · Home8 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.30 | +3.09 |
| M13 | Sevilla · Home24 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +4.28 |
| M14 | Celta · Away30 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.05 | +6.33 |
| M15 | Rayo Vallecano · Home7 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +7.83 |
| M16 | Getafe · Away13 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +9.60 |
| M17 | Athletic Club · Away22 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.10 | +11.70 |
| M18 | FC Barcelona · Home3 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.69 | +11.01 |
| M19 | Levante · Away11 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | +10.50 |
| M20 | Girona · Home16 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.80 | +8.70 |
| M21 | Valencia · Away24 Jan 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.21 | +7.49 |
| M22 | Alavés · Home30 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.76 | +5.73 |
| M23 | Villarreal · Away9 Feb 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.84 | +4.89 |
| M24 | Celta · Home14 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.40 | +4.49 |
| M25 | Atlético de Madrid · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.58 | +3.90 |
| M26 | Elche · Away1 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.25 | +3.65 |
| M27 | Real Oviedo · Home9 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | +2.91 |
| M28 | Mallorca · Away15 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | +1.68 |
| M29 | Getafe · Home21 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | +0.20 |
| M30 | Real Betis · Away4 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.29 |
| M31 | FC Barcelona · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.50 | −0.21 |
| M32 | Rayo Vallecano · Away23 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −1.28 |
| M33 | Levante · Home27 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.62 | −1.90 |
| M34 | Real Madrid · Home3 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −2.79 |
| M35 | Sevilla · Away9 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −3.78 |
| M36 | Athletic Club · Home13 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.66 | −2.12 |
| M37 | Osasuna · Away17 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.97 | −0.15 |
| M38 | Real Sociedad · Home23 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | −0.59 |
| Total | 46 | −0.59 | |||