Points
94Points expected by the market
82.58Gap
+11.42Yield
+14.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 24 | 64 | +6.76 | +10.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 30 | +5.69 | +31.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.03 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 17 | 51 | +9.82 | +24.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.17 | +66.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 13 | −3.07 | −26.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 24 | +3.52 | +24.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.03 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Mallorca · Away16 Aug 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.74 | +0.74 |
| M2 | Levante · Away23 Aug 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.52 | +1.26 |
| M3 | Rayo Vallecano · Away31 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.21 | +0.05 |
| M4 | Valencia · Home14 Sep 2025 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.74 | +0.79 |
| M5 | Getafe · Home21 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.55 | +1.34 |
| M6 | Real Oviedo · Away25 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.51 | +1.85 |
| M7 | Real Sociedad · Home28 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.72 | +2.58 |
| M8 | Sevilla · Away5 Oct 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −2.11 | +0.47 |
| M9 | Girona · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.51 | +0.97 |
| M10 | Real Madrid · Away26 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −0.05 |
| M11 | Elche · Home2 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.49 | +0.43 |
| M12 | Celta · Away9 Nov 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.14 | +1.57 |
| M13 | Athletic Club · Home22 Nov 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.80 | +2.38 |
| M14 | Alavés · Home29 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.59 | +2.96 |
| M15 | Atlético de Madrid · Home2 Dec 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.09 | +4.06 |
| M16 | Real Betis · Away6 Dec 2025 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.25 | +5.30 |
| M17 | Osasuna · Home13 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.47 | +5.77 |
| M18 | Villarreal · Away21 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +6.92 |
| M19 | Espanyol · Away3 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.89 | +7.82 |
| M20 | Real Sociedad · Away18 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.96 | +5.85 |
| M21 | Real Oviedo · Home25 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.36 | +6.22 |
| M22 | Elche · Away31 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.63 | +6.85 |
| M23 | Mallorca · Home7 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.41 | +7.26 |
| M24 | Girona · Away16 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.31 | +4.95 |
| M25 | Levante · Home22 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.34 | +5.29 |
| M26 | Villarreal · Home28 Feb 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.77 | +6.06 |
| M27 | Athletic Club · Away7 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +7.12 |
| M28 | Sevilla · Home15 Mar 2026 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.63 | +7.74 |
| M29 | Rayo Vallecano · Home22 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.52 | +8.26 |
| M30 | Atlético de Madrid · Away4 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +9.61 |
| M31 | Espanyol · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.67 | +10.28 |
| M32 | Celta · Home22 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.55 | +10.83 |
| M33 | Getafe · Away25 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +11.82 |
| M34 | Osasuna · Away2 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.06 | +12.87 |
| M35 | Real Madrid · Home10 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +13.95 |
| M36 | Alavés · Away13 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.55 | +12.40 |
| M37 | Real Betis · Home17 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.71 | +13.11 |
| M38 | Valencia · Away23 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.69 | +11.42 |
| Total | 94 | +11.42 | |||