Points
51Points expected by the market
44.10Gap
+6.90Yield
+48.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.46 | −17.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 23 | +1.62 | +23.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 20 | +5.74 | +91.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.46 | −17.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 19 | +3.77 | +49.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.23 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 4 | −2.15 | −34.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 20 | +7.96 | +132.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Celta · Away17 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.24 | +2.24 |
| M2 | Sevilla · Away25 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.00 | +4.24 |
| M3 | Valencia · Away29 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.13 | +3.12 |
| M4 | Real Oviedo · Home13 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +4.37 |
| M5 | FC Barcelona · Away21 Sep 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.40 | +3.97 |
| M6 | Alavés · Home24 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | +3.27 |
| M7 | Levante · Home27 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | +2.61 |
| M8 | Osasuna · Away3 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | +1.58 |
| M9 | Real Madrid · Home19 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.61 | +0.97 |
| M10 | Athletic Club · Away25 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.30 | +3.27 |
| M11 | Girona · Home31 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +4.62 |
| M12 | Mallorca · Away9 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | +3.40 |
| M13 | Atlético de Madrid · Home23 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | +2.53 |
| M14 | Elche · Home28 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +3.94 |
| M15 | Villarreal · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.74 | +3.19 |
| M16 | Espanyol · Home13 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.43 | +1.76 |
| M17 | Real Betis · Away21 Dec 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.80 | +0.97 |
| M18 | Rayo Vallecano · Away2 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | +1.01 |
| M19 | Real Sociedad · Home9 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −0.14 |
| M20 | Valencia · Home18 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | −1.63 |
| M21 | Girona · Away26 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −1.68 |
| M22 | Celta · Home1 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | −1.99 |
| M23 | Alavés · Away8 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.90 | −0.10 |
| M24 | Villarreal · Home14 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.74 | +1.65 |
| M25 | Sevilla · Home22 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.55 | +0.10 |
| M26 | Real Madrid · Away2 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.46 | +2.56 |
| M27 | Real Betis · Home8 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +4.18 |
| M28 | Atlético de Madrid · Away14 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.73 | +3.44 |
| M29 | Espanyol · Away21 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.81 | +5.26 |
| M30 | Athletic Club · Home5 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +7.06 |
| M31 | Levante · Away13 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | +5.78 |
| M32 | Real Sociedad · Away22 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +7.68 |
| M33 | FC Barcelona · Home25 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.75 | +6.93 |
| M34 | Rayo Vallecano · Home3 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.70 | +5.23 |
| M35 | Real Oviedo · Away10 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.33 | +4.90 |
| M36 | Mallorca · Home13 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +6.36 |
| M37 | Elche · Away17 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | +5.23 |
| M38 | Osasuna · Home23 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +6.90 |
| Total | 51 | +6.90 | |||