Points
41Points expected by the market
44.96Gap
−3.96Yield
−13.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 7 | −5.23 | −69.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 19 | −1.12 | −6.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 15 | +2.39 | +4.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 7 | −5.23 | −69.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 13 | +0.27 | +17.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +2.06 | +159.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 6 | −1.39 | −43.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 11 | +0.33 | −31.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Rayo Vallecano · Home15 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.48 | −1.48 |
| M2 | Villarreal · Away24 Aug 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.64 | −2.12 |
| M3 | Sevilla · Home30 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.47 | −3.59 |
| M4 | Celta · Away14 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | −3.45 |
| M5 | Levante · Home20 Sep 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.79 | −5.23 |
| M6 | Athletic Club · Away23 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.36 | −4.87 |
| M7 | Espanyol · Home26 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.40 | −5.27 |
| M8 | Valencia · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | −3.76 |
| M9 | FC Barcelona · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.37 | −4.13 |
| M10 | Real Oviedo · Home25 Oct 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.90 | −5.03 |
| M11 | Getafe · Away31 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −6.06 |
| M12 | Alavés · Home8 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.38 | −4.68 |
| M13 | Real Betis · Away23 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.31 | −4.37 |
| M14 | Real Madrid · Home30 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.43 | −3.94 |
| M15 | Elche · Away7 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.07 | −5.01 |
| M16 | Real Sociedad · Away12 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.11 | −2.90 |
| M17 | Atlético de Madrid · Home21 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.84 | −3.74 |
| M18 | Mallorca · Away4 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | −1.88 |
| M19 | Osasuna · Home10 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | −0.32 |
| M20 | Espanyol · Away16 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.08 | +1.76 |
| M21 | Getafe · Home26 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | +1.13 |
| M22 | Real Oviedo · Away31 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | −0.22 |
| M23 | Sevilla · Away8 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.27 |
| M24 | FC Barcelona · Home16 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.47 | +2.21 |
| M25 | Alavés · Away23 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | +2.02 |
| M26 | Celta · Home1 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.46 | +0.55 |
| M27 | Levante · Away7 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | +0.17 |
| M28 | Athletic Club · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +1.87 |
| M29 | Osasuna · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.06 | +0.81 |
| M30 | Villarreal · Home6 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +2.58 |
| M31 | Real Madrid · Away10 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.48 | +3.06 |
| M32 | Real Betis · Home21 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.46 | +1.60 |
| M33 | Valencia · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | +0.43 |
| M34 | Mallorca · Home1 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.74 | −1.32 |
| M35 | Rayo Vallecano · Away11 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | −1.47 |
| M36 | Real Sociedad · Home14 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.72 | −2.19 |
| M37 | Atlético de Madrid · Away17 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | −3.13 |
| M38 | Elche · Home23 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | −3.96 |
| Total | 41 | −3.96 | |||