Points
42Points expected by the market
39.49Gap
+2.51Yield
−14.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.36 | +105.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 25 | +5.06 | +18.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 22 | 14 | −3.91 | −43.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.36 | +105.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 21 | +4.61 | +23.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 2 | −2.82 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | +0.45 | +2.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 12 | −1.09 | −22.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Alavés · Away16 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −1.03 |
| M2 | FC Barcelona · Home23 Aug 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.38 | −1.41 |
| M3 | Elche · Away29 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −2.50 |
| M4 | Real Betis · Home14 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.07 | −2.57 |
| M5 | Girona · Away20 Sep 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +2.04 | −0.53 |
| M6 | Real Madrid · Home23 Sep 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.54 | −1.07 |
| M7 | Getafe · Away27 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −1.10 |
| M8 | Real Oviedo · Away4 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +0.68 |
| M9 | Rayo Vallecano · Home19 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.37 | −0.69 |
| M10 | Mallorca · Away26 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | −0.67 |
| M11 | Celta · Home2 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −1.88 |
| M12 | Atlético de Madrid · Away8 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.38 | −2.26 |
| M13 | Valencia · Away21 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −3.30 |
| M14 | Athletic Club · Home29 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −4.33 |
| M15 | Osasuna · Away8 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.82 | −5.16 |
| M16 | Real Sociedad · Home20 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | −5.39 |
| M17 | Sevilla · Away4 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.13 | −3.26 |
| M18 | Espanyol · Home11 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −3.46 |
| M19 | Real Madrid · Away17 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.30 | −3.75 |
| M20 | Elche · Home23 Jan 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.45 | −2.30 |
| M21 | Atlético de Madrid · Home31 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.17 | −2.13 |
| M22 | Athletic Club · Away8 Feb 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.75 | −2.89 |
| M23 | Valencia · Home15 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −4.24 |
| M24 | Villarreal · Home18 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | −5.21 |
| M25 | FC Barcelona · Away22 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.25 | −5.45 |
| M26 | Alavés · Home27 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.64 | −3.82 |
| M27 | Girona · Home7 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | −4.14 |
| M28 | Rayo Vallecano · Away16 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | −4.04 |
| M29 | Real Oviedo · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.48 | −2.57 |
| M30 | Real Sociedad · Away4 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.76 | −3.33 |
| M31 | Getafe · Home13 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | −1.73 |
| M32 | Sevilla · Home23 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.53 | −0.20 |
| M33 | Espanyol · Away27 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.29 |
| M34 | Villarreal · Away2 May 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.92 | −1.21 |
| M35 | Osasuna · Home8 May 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.60 | +0.38 |
| M36 | Celta · Away12 May 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.01 | +2.39 |
| M37 | Mallorca · Home17 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +3.74 |
| M38 | Real Betis · Away23 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | +2.51 |
| Total | 42 | +2.51 | |||