Points
42Points expected by the market
41.58Gap
+0.42Yield
−10.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.85 | +45.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.74 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 23 | +0.19 | −11.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 15 | +0.12 | −7.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.85 | +45.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.74 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 22 | +3.79 | +15.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 7 | +3.79 | +126.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 1 | −3.60 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 8 | −3.67 | −43.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | FC Barcelona · Home16 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.56 | −0.56 |
| M2 | Celta · Home23 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.76 |
| M3 | Real Madrid · Away30 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.31 | −1.07 |
| M4 | Espanyol · Away15 Sep 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.12 | −2.19 |
| M5 | Atlético de Madrid · Home21 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.16 | −2.03 |
| M6 | Real Sociedad · Away24 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | −2.87 |
| M7 | Alavés · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | −1.36 |
| M8 | Athletic Club · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.73 | −2.08 |
| M9 | Sevilla · Away18 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.11 | +0.03 |
| M10 | Levante · Home26 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | −0.71 |
| M11 | Real Betis · Away2 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.71 | −1.42 |
| M12 | Getafe · Home9 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +0.13 |
| M13 | Villarreal · Away22 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.57 | −0.43 |
| M14 | Osasuna · Home29 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.49 | −0.93 |
| M15 | Real Oviedo · Away5 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.27 | −1.20 |
| M16 | Elche · Home13 Dec 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +0.35 |
| M17 | Valencia · Away19 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.34 |
| M18 | Girona · Home4 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | −1.21 |
| M19 | Rayo Vallecano · Away11 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −2.12 |
| M20 | Athletic Club · Home17 Jan 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.92 | −0.20 |
| M21 | Atlético de Madrid · Away25 Jan 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.48 | −0.68 |
| M22 | Sevilla · Home2 Feb 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +0.94 |
| M23 | FC Barcelona · Away7 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.30 | +0.64 |
| M24 | Real Betis · Home15 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −0.60 |
| M25 | Celta · Away22 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −1.47 |
| M26 | Real Sociedad · Home28 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | −2.69 |
| M27 | Osasuna · Away7 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.05 | −2.64 |
| M28 | Espanyol · Home15 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | −1.10 |
| M29 | Elche · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −2.17 |
| M30 | Real Madrid · Home4 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.27 | +0.09 |
| M31 | Rayo Vallecano · Home12 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +1.63 |
| M32 | Valencia · Home21 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | +1.25 |
| M33 | Alavés · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | +0.20 |
| M34 | Girona · Away1 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.01 | +2.21 |
| M35 | Villarreal · Home10 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | +1.78 |
| M36 | Getafe · Away13 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.13 | +0.65 |
| M37 | Levante · Away17 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −0.43 |
| M38 | Real Oviedo · Home23 May 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +0.42 |
| Total | 42 | +0.42 | |||