Points
42Points expected by the market
48.59Gap
−6.59Yield
−24.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 17 | +2.87 | +18.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 19 | −7.91 | −46.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 6 | −1.56 | −15.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 17 | +2.87 | +18.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 12 | −0.90 | −20.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.32 | +131.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 7 | −7.01 | −68.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 3 | −2.88 | −52.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Real Madrid · Away19 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.37 | −0.37 |
| M2 | Valencia · Home24 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +1.06 |
| M3 | Espanyol · Away31 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | −0.17 |
| M4 | Rayo Vallecano · Home14 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +1.46 |
| M5 | Villarreal · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.80 | +0.66 |
| M6 | Elche · Home25 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | −0.13 |
| M7 | Real Betis · Away28 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −1.04 |
| M8 | Getafe · Home3 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +0.32 |
| M9 | Atlético de Madrid · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.49 | −0.18 |
| M10 | Celta · Home26 Oct 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.49 | −1.67 |
| M11 | Real Oviedo · Away3 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.47 | −2.14 |
| M12 | Sevilla · Away8 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −3.29 |
| M13 | Real Sociedad · Home22 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.38 | −4.68 |
| M14 | Mallorca · Away29 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | −4.87 |
| M15 | Levante · Home8 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.07 | −3.80 |
| M16 | FC Barcelona · Away13 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.35 | −4.15 |
| M17 | Alavés · Home20 Dec 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.39 | −2.76 |
| M18 | Athletic Club · Home3 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −3.02 |
| M19 | Girona · Away10 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | −4.28 |
| M20 | Real Oviedo · Home17 Jan 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.09 | −3.19 |
| M21 | Rayo Vallecano · Away24 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.88 | −1.31 |
| M22 | Villarreal · Home31 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | −1.63 |
| M23 | Celta · Away6 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.96 | +0.33 |
| M24 | Elche · Away13 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.08 |
| M25 | Real Madrid · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.15 | +2.07 |
| M26 | Valencia · Away1 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | +0.85 |
| M27 | Mallorca · Home7 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.77 | +0.08 |
| M28 | Real Sociedad · Away15 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.99 | −0.92 |
| M29 | Girona · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +0.41 |
| M30 | Alavés · Away5 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | +0.08 |
| M31 | Real Betis · Home12 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | −0.46 |
| M32 | Athletic Club · Away21 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | −1.38 |
| M33 | Sevilla · Home26 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | −0.14 |
| M34 | FC Barcelona · Home2 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −0.97 |
| M35 | Levante · Away8 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.31 | −2.28 |
| M36 | Atlético de Madrid · Home12 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −3.64 |
| M37 | Espanyol · Home17 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.65 | −5.29 |
| M38 | Getafe · Away23 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | −6.59 |
| Total | 42 | −6.59 | |||