Points
50Points expected by the market
48.47Gap
+1.53Yield
−13.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 19 | +1.44 | −6.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 22 | −0.73 | −12.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 9 | +0.82 | −20.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 19 | +1.44 | −6.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 7 | −1.99 | −63.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 5 | +2.82 | +51.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 15 | +1.26 | +15.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 4 | −2.00 | −48.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Girona · Away15 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +1.78 |
| M2 | Athletic Club · Away25 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.83 | +0.96 |
| M3 | FC Barcelona · Home31 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.39 | +1.35 |
| M4 | Osasuna · Away14 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.31 | +0.03 |
| M5 | Celta · Home21 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | −0.65 |
| M6 | Atlético de Madrid · Away24 Sep 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.61 | −1.26 |
| M7 | Sevilla · Home28 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.71 | −2.96 |
| M8 | Real Sociedad · Away5 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.90 | −1.06 |
| M9 | Levante · Away19 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +0.60 |
| M10 | Alavés · Home26 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +1.99 |
| M11 | Villarreal · Away1 Nov 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.84 | +1.15 |
| M12 | Real Madrid · Home9 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.31 | +1.46 |
| M13 | Real Oviedo · Away23 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | +0.87 |
| M14 | Valencia · Home1 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | +0.19 |
| M15 | Espanyol · Away7 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | −1.02 |
| M16 | Real Betis · Home15 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | −1.43 |
| M17 | Elche · Away21 Dec 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.22 | −2.65 |
| M18 | Getafe · Home2 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | −3.36 |
| M19 | Mallorca · Home11 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.21 | −2.16 |
| M20 | Celta · Away18 Jan 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.93 | −3.09 |
| M21 | Osasuna · Home24 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.58 | −4.67 |
| M22 | Real Madrid · Away1 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.44 | −5.12 |
| M23 | Atlético de Madrid · Home15 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.12 | −3.00 |
| M24 | Real Betis · Away21 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | −2.97 |
| M25 | Athletic Club · Home28 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −3.44 |
| M26 | Real Oviedo · Home4 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.10 | −2.34 |
| M27 | Sevilla · Away8 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −2.60 |
| M28 | Levante · Home16 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | −3.44 |
| M29 | FC Barcelona · Away22 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.39 | −3.82 |
| M30 | Elche · Home3 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | −2.72 |
| M31 | Mallorca · Away12 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.25 | −3.97 |
| M32 | Espanyol · Home23 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −2.61 |
| M33 | Real Sociedad · Home26 Apr 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.36 | −2.98 |
| M34 | Getafe · Away3 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.01 | −0.97 |
| M35 | Girona · Home11 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | −1.52 |
| M36 | Valencia · Away14 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | −1.67 |
| M37 | Villarreal · Home17 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.31 | −0.37 |
| M38 | Alavés · Away23 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.90 | +1.53 |
| Total | 50 | +1.53 | |||