Points
60Points expected by the market
55.29Gap
+4.71Yield
−6.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 32 | +2.54 | −13.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 24 | +3.14 | −2.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −0.97 | +5.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 29 | +4.53 | +6.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 6 | +0.78 | +21.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.05 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 3 | −1.98 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 18 | +2.36 | −10.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | +0.08 | +58.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Elche · Away18 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | −0.53 |
| M2 | Alavés · Home22 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +0.66 |
| M3 | Celta · Away27 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | +0.43 |
| M4 | Athletic Club · Home31 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −0.78 |
| M5 | Levante · Away14 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.66 | −1.44 |
| M6 | Real Sociedad · Home19 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.28 | −0.16 |
| M7 | Osasuna · Home28 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +1.02 |
| M8 | Espanyol · Away5 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.68 | +2.70 |
| M9 | Villarreal · Away18 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.11 | +2.60 |
| M10 | Atlético de Madrid · Home27 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.14 | +1.45 |
| M11 | Mallorca · Home2 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +2.39 |
| M12 | Valencia · Away9 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | +1.78 |
| M13 | Girona · Home23 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.10 | +0.68 |
| M14 | Sevilla · Away30 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +2.32 |
| M15 | FC Barcelona · Home6 Dec 2025 | L 3-5 | 0 | −1.02 | +1.30 |
| M16 | Rayo Vallecano · Away15 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | +1.02 |
| M17 | Getafe · Home21 Dec 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +2.10 |
| M18 | Real Madrid · Away4 Jan 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.67 | +1.43 |
| M19 | Real Oviedo · Away10 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | +0.72 |
| M20 | Villarreal · Home17 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +2.34 |
| M21 | Alavés · Away25 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.30 | +1.04 |
| M22 | Valencia · Home1 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +2.21 |
| M23 | Atlético de Madrid · Away8 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.35 | +4.56 |
| M24 | Mallorca · Away15 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +6.10 |
| M25 | Rayo Vallecano · Home21 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | +5.35 |
| M26 | Sevilla · Home1 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.89 | +4.46 |
| M27 | Getafe · Away8 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.28 | +3.18 |
| M28 | Celta · Home15 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | +2.50 |
| M29 | Athletic Club · Away22 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | +1.45 |
| M30 | Espanyol · Home4 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.84 | +0.61 |
| M31 | Osasuna · Away12 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.42 |
| M32 | Girona · Away21 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.74 | +2.16 |
| M33 | Real Madrid · Home24 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | +2.13 |
| M34 | Real Oviedo · Home3 May 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +3.07 |
| M35 | Real Sociedad · Away9 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | +2.74 |
| M36 | Elche · Home12 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.02 | +3.76 |
| M37 | FC Barcelona · Away17 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.55 | +3.21 |
| M38 | Levante · Home23 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +4.71 |
| Total | 60 | +4.71 | |||