Points
86Points expected by the market
80.18Gap
+5.82Yield
+5.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 22 | 52 | +0.02 | −7.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 31 | +6.69 | +34.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.02 | +18.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.88 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 16 | 40 | +1.42 | +1.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +3.54 | +79.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 12 | −1.40 | −32.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 22 | +3.15 | +21.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.02 | +18.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.88 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Osasuna · Home19 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.51 | +0.51 |
| M2 | Real Oviedo · Away24 Aug 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.64 | +1.16 |
| M3 | Mallorca · Home30 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.43 | +1.59 |
| M4 | Real Sociedad · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.98 | +2.57 |
| M5 | Espanyol · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.50 | +3.07 |
| M6 | Levante · Away23 Sep 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.71 | +3.78 |
| M7 | Atlético de Madrid · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.54 | +2.24 |
| M8 | Villarreal · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.79 | +3.03 |
| M9 | Getafe · Away19 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.82 | +3.85 |
| M10 | FC Barcelona · Home26 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +5.10 |
| M11 | Valencia · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.38 | +5.47 |
| M12 | Rayo Vallecano · Away9 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.11 | +4.37 |
| M13 | Elche · Away23 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.21 | +3.15 |
| M14 | Girona · Away30 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.26 | +1.90 |
| M15 | Athletic Club · Away3 Dec 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +3.09 |
| M16 | Celta · Home7 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.41 | +0.69 |
| M17 | Alavés · Away14 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.96 | +1.64 |
| M18 | Sevilla · Home20 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.49 | +2.13 |
| M19 | Real Betis · Home4 Jan 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.88 | +3.01 |
| M20 | Levante · Home17 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.41 | +3.42 |
| M21 | Villarreal · Away24 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +4.64 |
| M22 | Rayo Vallecano · Home1 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.60 | +5.24 |
| M23 | Valencia · Away8 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +6.27 |
| M24 | Real Sociedad · Home14 Feb 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.74 | +7.01 |
| M25 | Osasuna · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.91 | +5.10 |
| M26 | Getafe · Home2 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.25 | +2.85 |
| M27 | Celta · Away6 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +4.38 |
| M28 | Elche · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.62 | +5.00 |
| M29 | Atlético de Madrid · Home22 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.34 | +6.34 |
| M30 | Mallorca · Away4 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.05 | +4.29 |
| M31 | Girona · Home10 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.31 | +2.97 |
| M32 | Alavés · Home21 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.50 | +3.48 |
| M33 | Real Betis · Away24 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | +2.74 |
| M34 | Espanyol · Away3 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +3.89 |
| M35 | FC Barcelona · Away10 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.88 | +3.01 |
| M36 | Real Oviedo · Home14 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.54 | +3.55 |
| M37 | Sevilla · Away17 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +4.87 |
| M38 | Athletic Club · Home23 May 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.95 | +5.82 |
| Total | 86 | +5.82 | |||