Points
29Points expected by the market
36.13Gap
−7.13Yield
−41.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 18 | −1.19 | −21.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 23 | 11 | −5.94 | −55.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 18 | −0.01 | −16.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 1 | −2.76 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.18 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 10 | −3.18 | −42.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Villarreal · Away15 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.56 | −0.56 |
| M2 | Real Madrid · Home24 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.46 | −1.02 |
| M3 | Real Sociedad · Home30 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.86 | +0.84 |
| M4 | Getafe · Away13 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −0.09 |
| M5 | Elche · Away21 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | −1.07 |
| M6 | FC Barcelona · Home25 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.37 | −1.44 |
| M7 | Valencia · Away30 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.21 | +0.77 |
| M8 | Levante · Home4 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.49 | −0.72 |
| M9 | Espanyol · Home17 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −2.02 |
| M10 | Girona · Away25 Oct 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.16 | −1.85 |
| M11 | Osasuna · Home3 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | −2.08 |
| M12 | Athletic Club · Away9 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.69 | −2.77 |
| M13 | Rayo Vallecano · Home23 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.12 | −2.89 |
| M14 | Atlético de Madrid · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.38 | −3.27 |
| M15 | Mallorca · Home5 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | −3.68 |
| M16 | Sevilla · Away14 Dec 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.02 | −4.70 |
| M17 | Celta · Home20 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.11 | −4.81 |
| M18 | Alavés · Away4 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.12 | −4.69 |
| M19 | Real Betis · Home10 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −4.70 |
| M20 | Osasuna · Away17 Jan 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.82 | −5.52 |
| M21 | FC Barcelona · Away25 Jan 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.26 | −5.78 |
| M22 | Girona · Home31 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | −4.11 |
| M23 | Athletic Club · Home15 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −5.30 |
| M24 | Real Sociedad · Away21 Feb 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.33 | −4.97 |
| M25 | Atlético de Madrid · Home28 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | −5.83 |
| M26 | Rayo Vallecano · Away4 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.83 | −6.67 |
| M27 | Espanyol · Away9 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | −6.63 |
| M28 | Valencia · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.69 | −4.94 |
| M29 | Levante · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.18 | −6.12 |
| M30 | Sevilla · Home5 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | −4.45 |
| M31 | Celta · Away12 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.17 | −2.29 |
| M32 | Villarreal · Home23 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | −2.46 |
| M33 | Elche · Home26 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.55 | −4.00 |
| M34 | Real Betis · Away3 May 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.71 | −4.71 |
| M35 | Getafe · Home10 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | −5.06 |
| M36 | Real Madrid · Away14 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.39 | −5.45 |
| M37 | Alavés · Home17 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | −6.49 |
| M38 | Mallorca · Away23 May 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.63 | −7.13 |
| Total | 29 | −7.13 | |||