Points
46Points expected by the market
52.07Gap
−6.07Yield
−31.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 21 | +0.84 | −0.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 18 | −4.28 | −35.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 7 | −2.63 | −57.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 21 | +0.84 | −0.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 4 | −3.12 | −45.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.45 | +56.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 14 | −1.16 | −30.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 3 | −4.07 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Valencia · Away16 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.21 |
| M2 | Espanyol · Home24 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.80 | −1.01 |
| M3 | Real Oviedo · Away30 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.56 | −2.56 |
| M4 | Real Madrid · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −3.32 |
| M5 | Real Betis · Away19 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.02 | −4.33 |
| M6 | Mallorca · Home24 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | −3.23 |
| M7 | FC Barcelona · Away28 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.55 | −3.77 |
| M8 | Rayo Vallecano · Home5 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.62 | −5.39 |
| M9 | Celta · Away19 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | −5.41 |
| M10 | Sevilla · Home24 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.27 | −4.14 |
| M11 | Athletic Club · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.63 | −2.51 |
| M12 | Elche · Away7 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | −2.95 |
| M13 | Osasuna · Away22 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.70 | −1.25 |
| M14 | Villarreal · Home30 Nov 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.29 | −2.54 |
| M15 | Alavés · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | −3.85 |
| M16 | Girona · Home12 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.85 | −5.70 |
| M17 | Levante · Away20 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −6.18 |
| M18 | Atlético de Madrid · Home4 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | −6.16 |
| M19 | Getafe · Away9 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | −4.68 |
| M20 | FC Barcelona · Home18 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.18 | −2.50 |
| M21 | Celta · Home25 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.38 | −1.12 |
| M22 | Athletic Club · Away1 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −1.23 |
| M23 | Elche · Home7 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.02 | −0.21 |
| M24 | Real Madrid · Away14 Feb 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.56 | −0.77 |
| M25 | Real Oviedo · Home21 Feb 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.09 | −1.86 |
| M26 | Mallorca · Away28 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | −0.35 |
| M27 | Atlético de Madrid · Away7 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.79 | −1.14 |
| M28 | Osasuna · Home15 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.26 | +0.12 |
| M29 | Villarreal · Away20 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.01 | −0.89 |
| M30 | Levante · Home4 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +0.09 |
| M31 | Alavés · Home11 Apr 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.81 | −0.72 |
| M32 | Getafe · Home22 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.59 | −2.31 |
| M33 | Rayo Vallecano · Away26 Apr 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.36 | −2.67 |
| M34 | Sevilla · Away4 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | −3.89 |
| M35 | Real Betis · Home9 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.40 | −4.28 |
| M36 | Girona · Away14 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | −4.31 |
| M37 | Valencia · Home17 May 2026 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.48 | −5.78 |
| M38 | Espanyol · Away23 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | −6.07 |
| Total | 46 | −6.07 | |||