Points
43Points expected by the market
46.95Gap
−3.95Yield
−3.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 9 | −6.51 | −55.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 23 | +2.07 | +20.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 11 | +0.49 | +2.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 9 | −6.51 | −55.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 13 | +0.66 | +5.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.31 | +473.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +1.41 | +39.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 8 | −1.82 | −37.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Athletic Club · Away17 Aug 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.69 | −0.69 |
| M2 | Getafe · Home25 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.69 | −2.38 |
| M3 | Girona · Away30 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.77 | −0.61 |
| M4 | Elche · Home12 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.79 | −1.40 |
| M5 | Alavés · Away20 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.81 | +0.42 |
| M6 | Villarreal · Home23 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −0.73 |
| M7 | Rayo Vallecano · Away28 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.99 | +1.27 |
| M8 | FC Barcelona · Home5 Oct 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +2.31 | +3.57 |
| M9 | Mallorca · Home18 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.83 | +1.74 |
| M10 | Real Sociedad · Away24 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.00 | +0.74 |
| M11 | Atlético de Madrid · Away1 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.52 | +0.23 |
| M12 | Osasuna · Home8 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +1.68 |
| M13 | Espanyol · Away24 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.92 | +0.76 |
| M14 | Real Betis · Home30 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −0.59 |
| M15 | Valencia · Away7 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −0.60 |
| M16 | Real Oviedo · Home14 Dec 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +0.73 |
| M17 | Real Madrid · Away20 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.36 | +0.37 |
| M18 | Levante · Home4 Jan 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.88 | −1.50 |
| M19 | Celta · Home12 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | −2.88 |
| M20 | Elche · Away19 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.20 | −3.07 |
| M21 | Athletic Club · Home24 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | −1.47 |
| M22 | Mallorca · Away2 Feb 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.31 | −2.78 |
| M23 | Girona · Home8 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | −3.46 |
| M24 | Alavés · Home14 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | −4.12 |
| M25 | Getafe · Away22 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.88 | −2.24 |
| M26 | Real Betis · Away1 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.14 | −2.09 |
| M27 | Rayo Vallecano · Home8 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | −2.52 |
| M28 | FC Barcelona · Away15 Mar 2026 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.47 | −2.99 |
| M29 | Valencia · Home21 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.59 | −4.58 |
| M30 | Real Oviedo · Away5 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | −5.93 |
| M31 | Atlético de Madrid · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.46 | −4.47 |
| M32 | Levante · Away23 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −5.71 |
| M33 | Osasuna · Away26 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −6.66 |
| M34 | Real Sociedad · Home4 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | −5.15 |
| M35 | Espanyol · Home9 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.28 | −3.87 |
| M36 | Villarreal · Away13 May 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.91 | −1.96 |
| M37 | Real Madrid · Home17 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.06 | −3.02 |
| M38 | Celta · Away23 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | −3.95 |
| Total | 43 | −3.95 | |||