Points
49Points expected by the market
47.41Gap
+1.59Yield
+0.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 9 | −3.29 | −41.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 35 | +8.64 | +43.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 5 | −3.76 | −51.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 9 | −3.29 | −41.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 21 | +7.10 | +61.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.85 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 14 | +1.53 | +26.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 5 | −1.91 | −41.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Real Sociedad · Home16 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −0.48 |
| M2 | Osasuna · Away24 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | −1.62 |
| M3 | Getafe · Home29 Aug 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −0.17 |
| M4 | FC Barcelona · Away14 Sep 2025 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.56 | −0.73 |
| M5 | Athletic Club · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.87 | +1.14 |
| M6 | Espanyol · Away23 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.96 |
| M7 | Real Oviedo · Home30 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.94 | −0.99 |
| M8 | Girona · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −2.21 |
| M9 | Alavés · Away20 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.09 | −2.31 |
| M10 | Villarreal · Home25 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −3.36 |
| M11 | Real Madrid · Away1 Nov 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.27 | −3.63 |
| M12 | Real Betis · Home9 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −3.74 |
| M13 | Levante · Home21 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −2.42 |
| M14 | Rayo Vallecano · Away1 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | −2.44 |
| M15 | Sevilla · Home7 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | −3.15 |
| M16 | Atlético de Madrid · Away13 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.47 | −3.61 |
| M17 | Mallorca · Home19 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | −4.30 |
| M18 | Celta · Away3 Jan 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.00 | −5.30 |
| M19 | Elche · Home10 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | −6.00 |
| M20 | Getafe · Away18 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | −4.16 |
| M21 | Espanyol · Home24 Jan 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.51 | −2.65 |
| M22 | Real Betis · Away1 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −3.55 |
| M23 | Real Madrid · Home8 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.79 | −4.34 |
| M24 | Levante · Away15 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.65 | −2.69 |
| M25 | Villarreal · Away22 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.82 | −3.51 |
| M26 | Osasuna · Home1 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | −1.99 |
| M27 | Alavés · Home8 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.34 | −0.65 |
| M28 | Real Oviedo · Away14 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | −2.04 |
| M29 | Sevilla · Away21 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.89 | −0.15 |
| M30 | Celta · Home5 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.51 | −1.66 |
| M31 | Elche · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | −3.01 |
| M32 | Mallorca · Away21 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | −3.34 |
| M33 | Girona · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.46 | −1.87 |
| M34 | Atlético de Madrid · Home2 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.91 | −3.78 |
| M35 | Athletic Club · Away10 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.21 | −1.57 |
| M36 | Rayo Vallecano · Home14 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | −2.11 |
| M37 | Real Sociedad · Away17 May 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.77 | −0.34 |
| M38 | FC Barcelona · Home23 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.93 | +1.59 |
| Total | 49 | +1.59 | |||