Points
72Points expected by the market
59.52Gap
+12.48Yield
+11.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 15 | +4.03 | +42.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 35 | +9.95 | +41.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 19 | +1.62 | −1.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 3 | −3.13 | −49.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 15 | +4.03 | +42.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 28 | +8.02 | +44.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.61 | +146.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.93 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.93 | +29.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 16 | +0.01 | −14.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −1.20 | −29.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Real Oviedo · Home15 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.76 | +0.76 |
| M2 | Girona · Home24 Aug 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +1.60 |
| M3 | Celta · Away31 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | +1.05 |
| M4 | Atlético de Madrid · Away13 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | +0.17 |
| M5 | Osasuna · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.06 | +1.23 |
| M6 | Sevilla · Away23 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +2.65 |
| M7 | Athletic Club · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +3.97 |
| M8 | Real Madrid · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.60 | +3.37 |
| M9 | Real Betis · Home18 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.63 | +2.73 |
| M10 | Valencia · Away25 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +4.06 |
| M11 | Rayo Vallecano · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +5.15 |
| M12 | Espanyol · Away8 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +6.73 |
| M13 | Mallorca · Home22 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.76 | +7.49 |
| M14 | Real Sociedad · Away30 Nov 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.58 | +9.07 |
| M15 | Getafe · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.00 | +10.07 |
| M16 | FC Barcelona · Home21 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.94 | +9.14 |
| M17 | Elche · Away3 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.46 | +10.60 |
| M18 | Alavés · Home10 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.82 | +11.42 |
| M19 | Real Betis · Away17 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.34 | +10.08 |
| M20 | Real Madrid · Home24 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.99 | +9.08 |
| M21 | Osasuna · Away31 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.39 | +8.69 |
| M22 | Espanyol · Home9 Feb 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +9.78 |
| M23 | Getafe · Away14 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | +8.36 |
| M24 | Levante · Away18 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +9.59 |
| M25 | Valencia · Home22 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.06 | +10.65 |
| M26 | FC Barcelona · Away28 Feb 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.60 | +10.05 |
| M27 | Elche · Home8 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.84 | +10.89 |
| M28 | Alavés · Away13 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | +10.27 |
| M29 | Real Sociedad · Home20 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.27 | +11.55 |
| M30 | Girona · Away6 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | +10.05 |
| M31 | Athletic Club · Away12 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.93 | +11.98 |
| M32 | Real Oviedo · Away23 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | +11.43 |
| M33 | Celta · Home26 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +12.69 |
| M34 | Levante · Home2 May 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.15 | +13.84 |
| M35 | Mallorca · Away10 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +13.54 |
| M36 | Sevilla · Home13 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.63 | +11.91 |
| M37 | Rayo Vallecano · Away17 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.05 | +10.86 |
| M38 | Atlético de Madrid · Home24 May 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +12.48 |
| Total | 72 | +12.48 | |||