Current season · Data up to 26 Oct 2026
Who is beating the market this season
The teams performing furthest above what the odds expected, across all 37 leagues. Statistical context about what has already happened, not a prediction.
By default, top divisions only: they attract more money, so their closing odds better reflect what the market expects.
#1
OFI Crete
Super League · Greece
Yield
+154.1%Gap +4.5 Points 13 of 8.5 expected MP 8
#2
Academico Viseu
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Yield
+137.0%Gap +8.4 Points 17 of 8.6 expected MP 9
#3
Stenhousemuir
Championship · Scotland
Yield
+135.5%Gap +11.8 Points 23 of 11.2 expected MP 11
| # | Team | MP | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | LazioSerie A · Italy | 8 | +10.2 | +127.0% |
| 5 | GentPro League · Belgium | 9 | +11.7 | +120.1% |
| 6 | KalamataSuper League · Greece | 8 | +2.8 | +98.3% |
| 7 | Hertha2. Bundesliga · Germany | 9 | +11.0 | +94.4% |
| 8 | FrosinoneSerie A · Italy | 8 | +6.0 | +90.0% |
| 9 | QueretaroLiga MX · Mexico | 12 | +6.7 | +83.0% |
| 10 | LuganoSuper League · Switzerland | 10 | +11.1 | +78.2% |
Only teams with 8 or more matches: with fewer, the return depends too much on luck.
By league
The team furthest above the market in each league.
LaLiga
SpainAtlético de Madridgap +6.6
See the league →Segunda División
SpainAlmeríagap +6.0
See the league →Premier League
EnglandManchester Citygap +4.5
See the league →Championship
EnglandSwanseagap +6.8
See the league →League One
EnglandOxfordgap +5.3
See the league →League Two
EnglandCheltenhamgap +6.4
See the league →National League
EnglandBoreham Woodgap +10.6
See the league →Serie A
ItalyLaziogap +10.2
See the league →Serie B
ItalyPalermogap +7.1
See the league →Bundesliga
GermanyWerder Bremengap +4.1
See the league →2. Bundesliga
GermanyHerthagap +11.0
See the league →Ligue 1
FranceRennesgap +3.2
See the league →Ligue 2
FranceMontpelliergap +6.0
See the league →Eredivisie
NetherlandsFortuna Sittardgap +8.3
See the league →Primeira Liga
PortugalAcademico Viseugap +8.4
See the league →Pro League
BelgiumGentgap +11.7
See the league →Premiership
ScotlandCelticgap +5.6
See the league →Championship
ScotlandStenhousemuirgap +11.8
See the league →League One
ScotlandHamiltongap +10.2
See the league →League Two
ScotlandStranraergap +7.1
See the league →Süper Lig
TurkeyAmedsporgap +7.4
See the league →Super League
GreeceOFI Cretegap +4.5
See the league →Liga Profesional
ArgentinaGimnasia de La Platagap +13.1
See the league →Bundesliga
AustriaSK Rapidgap +8.1
See the league →Brasileirão
BrazilPalmeirasgap +11.5
See the league →Super League
ChinaTianjin Jinmen Tigergap +7.1
See the league →Superliga
DenmarkMidtjyllandgap +4.8
See the league →Veikkausliiga
FinlandGnistangap +8.4
See the league →Premier Division
IrelandShamrock Roversgap +6.2
See the league →J1 League
JapanMachidagap +7.8
See the league →Liga MX
MexicoQueretarogap +6.7
See the league →Eliteserien
NorwayVikinggap +10.7
See the league →Ekstraklasa
PolandGórnik Zabrzegap +9.1
See the league →Superliga
RomaniaDinamo Bucurestigap +8.2
See the league →Allsvenskan
SwedenVasteras SKgap +11.9
See the league →Super League
SwitzerlandLuganogap +11.1
See the league →MLS
United StatesNashville SCgap +16.6
See the league →